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#1 2016-02-02 06:44:27

Muhammad
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بِسمِ اللَّهِ الرَّحمٰنِ الرَّحيمِ
From: Sahiwal Division
Registered: 2012-03-22
Posts: 22,197
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Critical Reasoning Quiz Question.

Basic Common Quizzes Critical Reasoning

Question:
It is not unusual to see the ball fall into a black slot on a roulette wheel four times in a row. But for it to fall five or six times in a row into the same color is very unusual. Therefore you can win money by waiting for a run of five of the same color and then betting against that color.

If the roulette wheel in question is a fair wheel, which of the following observations or facts, if it were true, would best reveal a fallacy in the logic?

Option A):
If there were a reliable way to win at roulette it would be well-known by now.
Option B):
The probability of getting a particular color is always the same no matter what has gone before.
Option C):
The probability of getting a particular color decreases with the number of times the color has appeared.
Option D):
A person who makes money this way once or twice, will carry on to lose that money after a few more times.
Option E):
It is hard for a player to keep track of what went before for the time required.

Correct Answer is Option B):
The probability of getting a particular color is always the same no matter what has gone before.


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2016-02-02 06:44:27

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